Boxing Tips: Three punchy punts for Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora 3

Our tipster Matt Gipon can't see Fury getting troubled

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The big man is back in action on Saturday – it isn’t the fight the fans were asking for, but heavyweight world champion Tyson Fury needs a tune up and he’s thrown his old mucker Derek Chisora a bone to make the trilogy match. 

We have to put the debacle with Anthony Joshua behind us, and hope that either the two British superstars can get it on next year or Fury fights Oleksandr Usyk for the unified, undisputed, top-dog crown next year.

The fans braving a December night at the open air Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this Saturday will be hoping that the recent destructive version of Fury is in the ring rather than the cautious one who picked apart “Dell Boy” in 2011 – and Paddy is confident enough to price Chisora as a huge outsider in this two horse race.

Fury was more aggressive in the 2014 rematch, when he busted-up and bloodied Chisora until his corner threw in the towel in the tenth round, and I can’t see anything other than another stoppage win for the champ and a rush to get inside next to a radiator for the hundreds of fans in attendance.

Here’s 3 bets for Saturday night’s fight.

Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora, Saturday 10:30pm
TV: BT Sport Box Office

Fury to Win in Round 7 – 12

You would be forgiven for thinking that the giant heavyweight is distracted from boxing by his other pursuits – he’s got autobiography out for Christmas, he released a version of Sweet Caroline, and he’s doing sponsored social media posts every five minutes – but Fury needs to be busy to keep the negative mindset locked up.

The man from Morecambe has also been hosting a stream of the heavyweight contenders at his gym – Jermaine Franklin was there preparing for his fight with Dillian Whyte last week, and Joseph Parker has made the place his second home. 

The busy life has produced results in the ring – in the last two-and-a-bit years Fury comprehensively beat up dangerman Deontay Wilder twice and he starched Whyte in April with pretty much the first punch he threw with intent. 

Chisora’s form guide doesn’t make for such impressive reading – the Londoner has lost three of his last four, but it’s worth noting that one defeat was by Usyk and the other two were close decision defeats to former titleholder Parker. In July, Derek turned his fortunes around with a solid points win over fellow veteran contender Kubrat Pulev. 

‘War’ Chisora has only been stopped three times in his 45-fight career and that includes the late retirement against Fury, an 11th round KO by Whyte, and a hellacious five round pasting by David Haye. Despite the recent uptick in his KO ratio, Fury still isn’t a massive one-punch finisher and I think the unbeaten champ will have to wait until the second half of the fight before he serenades the crowd in victory. 

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Fury to Win in Round 9 – 12

The end of the fight might even come in the very late sessions. Chisora has become almost sentimental as he’s gotten older and wealthier – he buried the hatchet with bitter rival Haye and his relationship with Fury is almost at mate-level. Don’t get me wrong, the pair will be trying to knock each other out, but I wonder if Fury might not pull the trigger like he would against another opponent. 

The truth is, ‘Dell Boy’ isn’t a massive threat to Tyson – he’s short, he doesn’t have incredible power, and he’s 38 – and when Fury isn’t on the edge he isn’t at his best. Even in recent years the champ has underwhelmed – in 2018 he laboured to a points win over average Italian Francesco Pianeta, and in 2019 he had 12 rounds of problems with fringe contender Otto Wallin. 

Fury can win this fight any way he wants, but he might just want to take his time and have fun. Chisora is a hard man to nail down and I think a stoppage by the ref, the corner or the doctor is more likely than an outright KO, and that could come in the very final few rounds. Take your pick between this and the selection above!

Tyson Fury to win in last minute of round 8 or first minute of round 9

The price on a very late stoppage win for Fury is really good, but if you want proper massive odds look in the #WhatOddsPaddy section. The bet that stands out to me is Tyson to win in the last minute of round 8 or first minute of round 9 – it’s the point in the fight when everyone will know that even a puncher’s chance is out of reach for Chisora. 

Fury has been telling us that either man can win in a bid to boost pay-per-view sales, and I think on fight night the champ will want to put on a show. I think it will be a late stoppage, and if I need to get specific for big odds then this is where I’m looking. 

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

Tyson Fury v Derek Chisora Betting Tips

Fury to Win in Round 7 – 12
Fury to Win in Round 9 – 12
Tyson Fury to win in last minute of round 8 or first minute of round 9

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What do you think?