Boxing tips: 9/1 shot Liam Williams can pull off big shock v Demetrius Andrade

Our knockout boxing betting expert Matt Gipon takes a look at the best of the action this weekend.


*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

They say it’s harder to win a title “on the road” but Liam ‘The Machine’ Williams can motor away to victory against unbeaten champ Demetrius Andrade this weekend. For massive odds on a Williams’ upset win and all the best tips on the rest of the action keep going straight ahead!



Williams is an angry man and always has been, and I don’t think even winning a world title this weekend would change that. The Welshman with a chip on both shoulders takes on affable American Andrade for his middleweight gold at the Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino in Florida.

‘Boo Boo’ Andrade is a 2008 Olympian with rangy, slick southpaw skills and the 33-year-old first picked up a strap way back in 2013. The man from Rhode Island has won all of his 29 professional bouts and Paddy has priced him as a clear favourite.

Andrade typically starts fast and cruises late, and it’s a style that has resulted in two KOs in his last six bouts and left him struggling to build a solid fanbase. If we get the usual early fire from the Yank expect Williams to shoot straight back at him, and the odds on a win in rounds 1-4 for Andrade are worth a look.

For Williams, this is his first world championship bout and he’ll give everything he has to cling on in any difficult moments. ‘The Machine’ has only ever lost to former 154lb titleholder Liam Smith and since a pair of back-to-back defeats to the Scouser in 2017 Williams has moved up in weight and levelled up in skills.

Andrade has been sent to the canvas a couple times in his career and, with Williams on a hot streak of seven straight stoppage victories, many people are backing the away fighter with bad intentions to cause an upset by KO.

I think the American has the smarts and the skills to survive a Williams onslaught, and I think pigeon-holing the former British and Commonwealth champ as a puncher is a bit too simplistic. Moving up in weight has given the Brit more energy and speed, and from moving to the famous Ingle gym he has improved his ring IQ and accuracy.  In his long career, Andrade has been taken to split decisions by two opponents, and both times they were skilful volume-punchers not unlike Williams.

The US media have made a big deal of Andrade since he won the amateur world championships in 2007 and by blowing all that smoke some of it has gone to his head. Andrade genuinely believes he’s levels above Williams and I have a feeling he’s going to get a shock on Saturday night.

The boxer from The Valleys has had quality southpaw sparring for this contest and he couldn’t be more motivated, while Andrade is ageing, he’s been inactive and he’s overconfident. This could end up being really close and we know the American judges tend to favour the aggressor in those situations.

Bet of the bout: Williams on points.


  • On the undercard in Florida, super middleweight Carlos Gongora hasn’t hit the mainstream headlines yet but he can add to his growing reputation with a win over Christopher Pearson (12am). Ecuador’s Gongora has serious power and Pearson is moving up in weight, but the value here is for Gongora to win on points.

  • The best boxer not in a main event this weekend is Regis Prograis, and he takes on Ivan Redkach (12am) in a bid to get back into title contention. Prograis is odds-on to win by KO but you can get a bit more bang-for-your-buck by betting on Prograis to win in rounds 3-4.

Boxing Tips this weeekend

Sat 11pm: Liam Williams to beat Demetrius Andrade on points
Sun 12am: Carlos Gongora to beat Christopher Pearson via points
Sun 12am: Regis Prograis to beat Ivan Redkach in rounds 3-4

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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