Washington Wizards @ Houston Rockets: Houston -11 – 10/11
11 is a big number for the rockets to gcover, but there are a few reasons to be optimistic about it here.
First, James Harden is scoring almost 40 points a night in the last five games. It’s easy to forget he’s the reigning MVP because Houston haven’t started the season like many expected, but if he’s getting his act together, they’ll soon put that right.
Second, Washington have the worst agaisnt the spread record on the road in the league as an underdog. They’re 2-8, and from night-to-night are a very unreliable team. They beat the Lakers well on Sunday, then lost to the Hawks last night. They’re a bit of a mess.
That loss last night means they don’t get a break here either. That suits our purposes, and should see the Rockets cover double-digits here at 10/11.
Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz: Over 218.5 – 10/11
Golden State are starting to simmer nicely now that they’ve got Steph Curry back in the line-up.
November saw them squabbling among themselves and hindered by their star man’s temporary layoff, but with the season of goodwill upon us they’ve patched things up and look like champions again.
Curry shooting at a rate he hasn’t hit since 2015/16, and Keven Durant and Klay Thompson are both averaging over 20 points per night too. They’ve lost three of their last four to the Jazz, and the Utah covered in the loss too, so, while the -3 doesn’t sound much, it ‘s better to look at the total.
218.5 is a relatively high number for a team as defensively-focused as Utah, but they haven’t been shutting down teams like they planned to. With the Warriors scoring heavily again, I’d take the over.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Sacramento Kings: Under 235.5 – 10/11
The Kings are still presiding over a competitive record in the Western Conference despite injuries and the general expectation that they’ll end up hanging with the Suns at the tail end of the standings sooner or later.
Most surprising, they’re among the leading scorers in the league too.
If they can keep that up they’ll remain a playoff contender.
OKC, by contrast, have built their record on an improved defence this year, despite multiple injuries to Andre Roberson that could’ve really hobbled their efforts with the ball – last season they were statistically one of the worst teams in the league when he was off the floor.
Their scoring isn’t bad either, with Russell Westbrook and Paul George managing to find the right balance now Carmelo Anthony is just a distant memory.
Sacramento have seen the most overs of all teams in the league this season, going 20-10 on totals, but most of those are on the road. OKC’s record on their travels isn’t great either. 235.5 looks a very high figure when you consider this. I’d have to take the under.
*All odds correct at time of posting